CHINA – 2023/02/19: On this picture illustration, the Chinese language electrical car producer Li Auto, … [+]
Li Auto stock has fared properly this yr, rising by about 21% year-to-date. This compares to rivals equivalent to Nio and Xpeng which have returned about -4% and 1%, respectively. So what’s driving the rally within the inventory? Li Auto’s This autumn 2022 outcomes had been fairly robust, with gross sales rising by about 66% versus final yr to $2.56 billion, and with deliveries leaping to 46,319 items, up from 26,154 items. Li’s profitability can also be holding up regardless of the provision chain constraints which have damage the broader trade. Gross margins stood at 20.0% – a slight decline versus final yr, in comparison with rival Nio which noticed margins drop to simply
just
So is Li Auto inventory a purchase at present ranges of about $25 per share? We expect so. The general outlook for the corporate seems to be comparatively vibrant. With China easing its zero-Covid coverage after over two years of stringent lockdowns, automotive gross sales, and shopper spending, ought to choose up. China’s Buying managers index – an indicator of producing exercise – hit an 11-year excessive in February. Furthermore, general EV demand and favorable regulation in China stay a tailwind for Chinese language EV gamers. Though national-level subsidies are receding, provinces wish to make EV purchases extra enticing. Over 2022, deliveries of recent power automobiles – a broad time period that features hybrids, EVs, and gasoline cell automobiles – rose by over 2x versus final yr. This might assist Li Auto, which has extremely differentiated automobiles which have a small gasoline engine that generates extra electrical energy and extends vary. The corporate has additionally been increasing its product line past its mainstay Li ONE mannequin which was first launched in 2019. The corporate’s product lineup now additionally contains the Li L9, a six-seat SUV, the Li L8 household SUVs, and the not too long ago launched Li L7, which is a five-seat flagship SUV. Li’s valuation can also be cheap, with the inventory buying and selling at about 1.8x ahead revenues, which is properly under the likes of Tesla (which trades at about 6x ahead income).
Try our evaluation on Nio, Xpeng & Li Auto: How Do Chinese EV Stocks Compare? for extra particulars on how Li Auto inventory stacks up versus its friends Nio and Xpeng.
What if you happen to’re in search of a extra balanced portfolio as a substitute? Our high-quality portfolio and multi-strategy portfolio have overwhelmed the market constantly for the reason that finish of 2016.
LI Return In contrast With Trefis Multi-Technique Portfolio
Make investments with Trefis Market Beating Portfolios
See all Trefis Price Estimates